The close correlation that normally characterises the relationship between European gas and power contracts disappeared in November, with the Dutch gas TTF Year+1 and German power Year+1 contracts showing no discernible correlation. ICIS energy experts Ellie Chambers, Alex Thackrah and Herman Moestue discuss how the French ARENH mechanism has prompted this disconnection and whether prices will reconnect in the months ahead.
Coming into the first half of winter, there are signs that the Czech and Hungarian markets could be more bearish in the first quarter than previously thought. In this podcast, ICIS experts Ellie Chambers and Jamie Stewart discuss the changes to the outlook and why drivers are more mixed for the second half of winter.
A decision by the Netherlands’ highest administrative court to reject plans to cut production at the Groningen gas field, but to retain the current cap on output is just one legal decision in recent weeks to impact Europe’s gas markets. In this podcast, ICIS experts Tom Marzec-Manser and Ben Samuel discuss how this case and other legal disputes, such as the upcoming verdict on the Gazprom-Naftogaz arbitration case, are changing the gas trade landscape around the continent.
Reform of the European carbon market was finally agreed early on the morning of Thursday 9 November. In this podcast, ICIS experts Will Peck and Jamie Stewart discuss the immediate outlook for emissions and electricity prices, and look further ahead at how high the carbon price will go, and where it might meet resistance.
On Thursday, Lithuania and Luxembourg agreed a statistical transfer of renewable energy in the first such deal seen in the EU.
ICIS experts Matthew Jones and Ellie chambers discuss how statistical transfers work and the implications the deal may have for other countries struggling to reach their 2020 renewable targets.
Governments across Europe are coming under increasing pressure to phase-out coal-fired capacity both to meet decarbonisation objectives and to reduce the impact of emissions on their citizens’ health. ICIS experts Jamie Stewart and Matthew Jones discuss coal phase-out plans in Europe, with particular focus on recent developments in the Netherlands, UK, France and Germany.
Energy grid operator National Grid released its winter outlook on Thursday, which outlined the potential risks to British power and gas supply and demand this winter. ICIS experts Jamie Stewart, Christopher Somers and Thomas Rodgers discuss the outlook for the coming months.
As the gas markets enter the winter period, storage sites are less full than in previous years.
ICIS expert Julie Fisher talks to gas editor Tom Marzec-Manser about how this has come about, and how pricing is affecting shippers’ storage decisions in the early part of the gas winter.
As the energy markets enter the six-month winter period, France is grappling with nuclear power supply issues for the second year in a row. ICIS expert Herman Moestue and power editor Jamie Stewart discuss how the market sees the supply risks for the remaining quarter of this year, and the first quarter of the next.